
Ray Kurzweil's mind-bending forecast of humanity's technological evolution has Bill Gates referencing it when discussing "the road ahead." Described as "startling in scope" by The New York Times, this seminal work asks: When will AI surpass human intelligence - and are we prepared?
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In 2005, a prediction seemed audacious: machines would soon think like humans, and humanity would merge with its technology. Nearly two decades later, that forecast looks conservative. ChatGPT writes poetry. AI defeats world champions at games once thought impossible for machines. Self-driving cars navigate city streets. The exponential curve everyone dismissed as hype? It's steeper than anyone imagined. We're not approaching a distant future - we're living through the opening act of humanity's most profound transformation. Think of evolution as a staircase, each step representing a leap in how information gets processed. The first steps were simple: atoms formed, chemistry emerged, life began replicating itself. Then brains appeared, storing memories and learning from experience. Humans added another step by creating technology - tools that amplified our abilities. We're now approaching a step unlike any before. Within two decades, microscopic devices will connect our biological brains directly to cloud computing, expanding our mental capacity thousands of times over. By mid-century, we'll think with millions of times our current cognitive power. This isn't science fiction speculation - it's the mathematical continuation of a pattern that's held steady for over a century. What makes this prediction credible? The law of accelerating returns. Each technological breakthrough creates tools that accelerate the next breakthrough. The first computers filled entire rooms and cost millions; your smartphone is exponentially more powerful and fits in your pocket. This isn't linear progress - it's a curve bending upward so sharply that our intuitions fail us. Just as someone in 1990 couldn't imagine today's internet-connected world, we struggle to envision 2045. Yet the math is clear: we're climbing an exponential staircase, and the next step changes everything. The question isn't whether artificial intelligence will reshape civilization, but whether we'll recognize the revolution while we're standing in it.
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Criado por ex-alunos da Universidade de Columbia em San Francisco
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Criado por ex-alunos da Universidade de Columbia em San Francisco

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