
History moves in predictable cycles. "The Fourth Turning" reveals how society repeats a 80-year pattern of crisis and renewal. Steve Bannon cited it while shaping Trump's administration, and Tim Ferriss calls it essential reading for understanding our chaotic present moment.
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Have you ever sensed that America is unraveling? Despite our technological marvels and material wealth, something feels fundamentally broken - plummeting trust in institutions, bitter cultural divisions, and a pervasive anxiety about the future. This isn't random societal malaise. It's part of a predictable historical pattern brilliantly decoded in "The Fourth Turning." History isn't a straight line of progress or random chaos - it moves in cycles, following natural rhythms that have governed societies for millennia. These cycles, called saecula (roughly 80-100 years, a long human lifetime), contain four distinct "turnings" or seasons: The First Turning (High) brings institutional strength and social cohesion after crisis; the Second Turning (Awakening) challenges institutions in favor of personal autonomy; the Third Turning (Unraveling) sees institutions weaken while individualism flourishes; and the Fourth Turning (Crisis) brings secular upheaval where the old order collapses and a new one emerges. We've seen this pattern repeat through the American Revolution, Civil War, and Great Depression/WWII. And now we're entering another Fourth Turning - winter is coming.
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Criado por ex-alunos da Universidade de Columbia em San Francisco
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Criado por ex-alunos da Universidade de Columbia em San Francisco

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