David Spiegelhalter author photo
Image via Wikimedia Commons, licenciado sob CC BY-SA 4.0.

David Spiegelhalter

Nascido: August 16, 1953 – Barnstaple, Devon, United Kingdom

David Spiegelhalter is a British statistician and science communicator whose work focuses on risk, uncertainty, probability, and evidence. He is the author of The Art of Statistics and Covid by Numbers, and has broadened public understanding of data through academic leadership, media work, and honors including a knighthood.

Biografia e Jornada do Autor

David Spiegelhalter was born in Barnstaple, Devon, and educated at Barnstaple Grammar School before reading mathematics at Keble College, Oxford. At Oxford, the statistician Adrian Smith helped steer him away from pure mathematics and toward probability and Bayesian thinking, a shift that became the foundation of his career. He then completed an MSc and a PhD in Statistical Science at University College London. From the start, his path combined technical depth with an unusual interest in how non-specialists understand numbers, risk, and uncertainty. ((https://www.northdevongazette.co.uk/news/local-news/1947524/round-table-celebrates-75th-with-return-of-prestigious-former-barumite.html?utm_source=openai))

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Citações

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in our everyday world, probability probably does not exist—but it is often useful to act as if it did
-Probability Probably Doesn’t Exist
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So I think the take-home message is that we should be clear what we do know, and then proclaim our uncertainty with confidence
-The Problem with Failing to Admit We Don’t Know
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perhaps we need a form of muscular uncertainty
-Trust in numbers
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There's a huge need for data literacy among the whole population
-David Spiegelhalter wins Faraday Prize
quote
You’ve got 70 years ahead of you. What are you going to do with them?
-What are the odds?
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We would often like to know the reason why rare, unpleasant, or surprising events happen
-Alternative 800th public lecture series launched
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We're actively trying to research how you can communicate uncertainty about a fact without losing trust and credibility
-Changing the way we communicate risk
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Statistics can be boring things laid out in tables to four decimal places
-Statistics are either dull or wrong: discuss
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You have to say what you do know and then you have to say what you don't know
-Communicating the coronavirus crisis

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Vozes da Comunidade

"David Spiegelhalter is probably the greatest living statistical communicator; he's one of the great communicators in any field"

Tim Harford

"David Spiegelhalter is a national treasure, and this might be his wisest, most humane and most personal book"

Tim Harford

"Sir David Spiegelhalter shares both his vast experience of statistics and his passion for the subject"

Quantitative Finance

"What David Spiegelhalter does here is provide a very thorough introductory grounding in statistics without making use of mathematical formulae"

Popular Science

"Sir David Spiegelhalter is a national treasure in the world of statistics, achieving everything from a knighthood to appearing on Total Wipeout"

Royal Institution

"If I had to trust just one person to interrogate statistical data, I'd trust David Spiegelhalter"

Michael Blastland

"David Spiegelhalter has gained a deserved reputation as a masterful communicator of statistics and risk"

Norman Fenton

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