Annie Duke author photo
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Annie Duke

Born: September 13, 1965 – Concord, New Hampshire, United States

Annie Duke is an author and decision strategist focused on decision-making under uncertainty, cognitive bias, quitting, and probabilistic thinking. Her notable books include Thinking in Bets, How to Decide, and Quit. A former professional poker player, she won a World Series of Poker bracelet and earned more than $4 million in tournament winnings.

Biography & Author's Journey

Annie Duke’s career is unusual not because it changed direction once, but because each turn built on the same underlying question: how people make decisions when certainty is impossible. Before she became widely known as a poker champion, she studied English and psychology at Columbia University, then earned a National Science Foundation fellowship to pursue graduate work in cognitive psychology at the University of Pennsylvania. Near the end of graduate school, a serious stomach illness caused her to miss a cycle of faculty job talks. Poker, initially suggested by her brother as a temporary way to earn money, became the unexpected alternative. What was meant to be a stopgap evolved into an 18-year professional career in which she won more than $4 million in tournaments, captured a World Series of Poker bracelet, and became the only woman to win both the WSOP Tournament of Champions and the NBC National Heads-Up Championship. She retired from poker in 2012 and later completed her PhD at Penn in 2023. ((https://www.annieduke.com/about/))

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Quotes

quote
Thinking in Bets is a love letter to uncertainty
-Making Good Decisions: A Toolkit
quote
If you want somebody’s opinion, don’t tell them your opinion first
-Making Good Decisions: A Toolkit
quote
I like to think of myself as an uncertainty evangelist
-I don’t know: Why uncertainty is the best decision-making tool
quote
Three of the most powerful words we can ever say are, “I’m not sure.”
-Thinking in Bets
quote
The quality of your decisions determines, in large part, the quality of your life
-When to quit: A simple framework for life’s toughest decisions
quote
Life is poker, not chess
-Poker Champion Annie Duke on Making Smart Bets in Life, Politics, and Football
quote
Job and relocation decisions are bets
-Could poker make you a better investor?
quote
Stalling is a decision in and of itself
-Decision Fatigue Is Real. Here’s How to Beat It This Year

Discover more

Poker Mindset: Decision Quality Under Pressure
LEARNING PLAN

Poker Mindset: Decision Quality Under Pressure

This learning plan is essential for poker players who struggle with emotional volatility and inconsistent performance during long sessions. It provides a bridge between technical knowledge and the psychological resilience required to execute high-level strategy under extreme financial pressure.

1 h 36 m4 Sections
Bayesian Thinking for Smart Bets
LEARNING PLAN

Bayesian Thinking for Smart Bets

In an era of information overload, the ability to filter noise and update your perspective is a competitive advantage. This plan is designed for professionals and decision-makers who want to replace gut feelings with a rigorous, logical framework for handling risk.

1 h 30 m3 Sections
The Grit of Decision Science
LEARNING PLAN

The Grit of Decision Science

This plan bridges the gap between behavioral theory and practical application for professionals facing high-pressure choices. It is ideal for leaders and strategists who want to master the psychological friction between intuition and logic.

2 h 18 m3 Sections
Decisive Action Under Uncertainty
LEARNING PLAN

Decisive Action Under Uncertainty

In fast-paced environments, the inability to choose often leads to missed opportunities. This plan is designed for leaders and professionals who need to overcome analysis paralysis and lead with confidence despite incomplete data.

1 h 12 m3 Sections
Mauboussin & Taleb: Probabilistic Decisions
LEARNING PLAN

Mauboussin & Taleb: Probabilistic Decisions

This learning plan bridges the gap between theoretical randomness and practical decision science for professionals in finance, strategy, and leadership. By synthesizing the wisdom of Mauboussin and Taleb, it provides a robust toolkit for anyone needing to make high-stakes choices in an unpredictable world.

5 h 25 m4 Sections
Build Unshakable Decision Confidence
LEARNING PLAN

Build Unshakable Decision Confidence

This plan is designed for leaders and high-performers who feel drained by decision fatigue and constant second-guessing. By merging neural debugging with structured systems, it provides a practical framework to turn intuition into a reliable, high-speed asset.

1 h 12 m3 Sections
The Bayesian Decision Toolkit
LEARNING PLAN

The Bayesian Decision Toolkit

In an era of information overload, the ability to filter noise from signal is a critical competitive advantage. This toolkit is designed for professionals and decision-makers who want to replace gut feelings with a rigorous, probabilistic approach to logic and life.

1 h 30 m3 Sections
Decide and Commit with Confidence
LEARNING PLAN

Decide and Commit with Confidence

In an era of choice overload, the ability to filter noise and act decisively is a competitive advantage. This plan is designed for professionals and leaders who struggle with overthinking and want to replace decision fatigue with confident execution.

1 h 12 m3 Sections

Community Voices

"Through wonderful storytelling and sly wit, Annie Duke has crafted the ultimate guide to thinking about risk"

Charles Duhigg ((

"No one could explain the process of high-stakes decision-making better than Annie Duke"

Garry Kasparov ((

"Few in the world are more skilled at this than World Series Of Poker champion Annie Duke"

Steve Ehrlich ((

"Annie Duke has written an important, and often hilarious, book that will help you understand your own shortcomings--and make smarter choices as a result"

Maria Konnikova ((

"Quitting is not just an art; it's also a science – and there is no one so uniquely suited to teach us both as Annie Duke"

Brian Christian ((

"Annie Duke Will Beat You at Your Own Game"

The New Yorker ((

"Annie Duke gives you the tools you need and tells you how to use them effectively"

Michael J. Mauboussin ((

"Annie Duke is an Ivy League grad, author, mother of four--and one of the best poker players in the world"

Eric Arnold ((

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