Правила достоверных статистических данных: Десять простых правил, чтобы разобраться в статистике book cover

Правила достоверных статистических данных

Десять простых правил, чтобы разобраться в статистике

Тим Харфорд
4.12(7996 Reviews)

Обзор книги Правила достоверных статистических данных

В книге «Осада цифр» (The Data Detective) Тим Харфорд предлагает десять важнейших правил для навигации в мире статистики, перенасыщенном данными. Это своевременное руководство, одобренное Стивеном Фраем и Стивеном Пинкером, раскрывает, как числа могут вводить нас в заблуждение — и как правильное статистическое мышление способно спасти саму демократию.

Ключевые темы в Правила достоверных статистических данных

  • statistical literacy
  • cognitive bias mitigation
  • data interpretation
  • motivated reasoning
  • skeptical inquiry

Цитаты из Правила достоверных статистических данных

  • When metrics become targets, they create perverse incentives.

  • Strong emotional reactions should serve as warning flags prompting us to examine our reasoning more carefully.

  • This avoidance behavior often leads to worse outcomes by preventing timely corrective action.

  • Our personal observations can mislead us because we don't see enough cases to establish patterns.

Персонажи в Правила достоверных статистических данных

  • Tim HarfordAuthor and economist who explores data reasoning
  • Stephen Jay GouldPaleontologist who analyzed his own cancer data
  • Abraham BrediusArt historian fooled by a Vermeer forgery
  • Ziva KundaPsychologist who studied motivated reasoning
  • Guy MayrazResearcher who conducted wheat market experiments

Об авторе

Об авторе книги Правила достоверных статистических данных

Тим Харфорд, автор бестселлера «The Data Detective» и титулованный поведенческий экономист, известен своим умением превращать сложную статистику в увлекательные повествования.

Старший колумнист Financial Times и ведущий программы More or Less на BBC Radio 4, Харфорд сочетает экономику, анализ данных и сторителлинг, чтобы демистифицировать цифры в повседневной жизни.

Его карьера включает работу в Оксфордском университете, Всемирном банке и на BBC, где его подкасты Cautionary Tales и Fifty Things That Made the Modern Economy возглавляли мировые чарты. Предыдущие работы Харфорда, в том числе «Экономист под прикрытием» (продано 1,5 миллиона экземпляров, переведено на 30 языков) и «Хаос» (Messy), закрепили за ним репутацию эксперта по выявлению скрытых закономерностей в человеческом поведении.

Удостоенный ордена Британской империи (OBE) за вклад в повышение экономической грамотности, он также известен своим выступлением на TED о творчестве, которое набрало более 5,6 миллионов просмотров. Книга «The Data Detective» отражает миссию Харфорда — вооружить читателей инструментами для борьбы с дезинформацией, подтверждая его статус «британского Малкольма Гладуэлла».

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