Иррациональный оптимизм book cover

Иррациональный оптимизм

Роберт Шиллер
3.98(8384 Reviews)

Обзор книги Иррациональный оптимизм

Книга лауреата Нобелевской премии Роберта Шиллера «Иррациональный оптимизм» предсказала как крах доткомов, так и пузырь на рынке недвижимости. Опубликованное точно на пике Nasdaq перед его обвалом, это экономическое пророчество заслужило восхищение Нассима Талеба и вызвало ожесточенные споры с Юджином Фамой об эффективности рынка.

Ключевые темы в Иррациональный оптимизм

  • speculative bubbles
  • market psychology
  • investor contagion
  • asset price valuation
  • economic feedback loops

Цитаты из Иррациональный оптимизм

  • Thus, a speculative bubble is a situation in which news of price increases spurs investor enthusiasm, which spreads by psychological contagion from person to person, in the process amplifying stories that might justify the price increases.

  • Markets don't always reflect rational assessments of economic fundamentals.

  • The historical data is sobering.

  • Markets ... mirror our collective psychology-our fears, hopes...

  • The media plays a crucial role in this feedback process.

Персонажи в Иррациональный оптимизм

  • Robert J. ShillerAuthor and economist who predicted market crashes
  • Alan GreenspanFormer Federal Reserve Chair who coined the title
  • Karl CaseEconomist and Shiller's real estate research partner

Об авторе

Об авторе книги Иррациональный оптимизм

Роберт Джеймс Шиллер, лауреат Нобелевской премии по экономике и автор бестселлера «Иррациональный оптимизм» (Irrational Exuberance), является ведущим авторитетом в области поведенческих финансов и психологии рынка. Стерлингский профессор экономики в Йельском университете, Шиллер в своих работах сочетает академическую строгость с практическими выводами; в частности, он стал соавтором индекса Кейса-Шиллера для отслеживания тенденций на рынке жилья.

Его новаторский анализ в книге «Иррациональный оптимизм», исследующий спекулятивные пузыри и психологию инвесторов, точно предсказал как крах доткомов, так и жилищный кризис 2008 года, что закрепило за этим трудом статус основополагающего текста в финансовой экономике.

Экспертиза Шиллера находит отражение в таких признанных работах, как «Нарративная экономика» (Narrative Economics), изучающая влияние вирусных историй на рынки, и «Финансы и хорошее общество» (Finance and the Good Society), выступающая за этичные финансовые системы. Будучи регулярным колумнистом The New York Times и Project Syndicate, он сочетает научный авторитет с влиянием на широкую аудиторию.

Удостоенный в 2013 году Нобелевской премии по экономике за эмпирический анализ цен на активы, Шиллер является автором книг, переведенных на 18 языков, а его работа «Иррациональный оптимизм» получила статус бестселлера New York Times и разошлась тиражом более 500 000 экземпляров по всему миру.

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