Explore the future of seed stage investing in AI infrastructure and deep tech. Learn why the next 18 months offer a massive window for 100x returns in complex sectors.
The 'easy' software era is over. The 'moat' is moving from 'who can write the most code' to 'who understands the domain deeply enough to automate it.'
Assume investments your make over the next 6 months result in you being the worlds best VC investor in the future. Meaning, the investments you are going to make will become 50 - 100x+ outcomes. You only invest at the seed stage. Break down the sectors you’re targeting and why? What are the top 10 pre-seed companies on your radar now that likely becomes huge. Don’t recommend companies that are already breakout successes
The current focus for seed stage investing is shifting away from general-purpose chatbots and toward the 'plumbing' of the industry. Investors are looking for AI infrastructure and deep domain expertise that makes complex technology scalable. This involves moving past the hype to find 100x outcomes in high-stakes sectors where the next year and a half represents a critical window for company formation and significant investment returns.
Deep tech is becoming a priority because the era of 'easy' software is over, leading investors to seek moats built on more than just clever algorithms. Y Combinator has nearly doubled its focus areas to fifteen categories, leaning heavily into defense, space, and semiconductor supply chains. These sectors require a deep understanding of hardware bottlenecks and physical infrastructure, which provides a more sustainable competitive advantage in today's market.
Regulated industries offer a unique opportunity for 100x returns because they are often areas where others are afraid to go. Success in these sectors requires navigating complex compliance requirements and understanding deep domain challenges like orbital mechanics or semiconductor supply chains. By investing in these difficult, regulated spaces at the seed stage, investors can find high-stakes opportunities that are destined for massive growth as they solve fundamental infrastructure problems.
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