
Why do judges give wildly different sentences for identical crimes? "Noise" reveals the hidden inconsistencies corrupting our decisions - from medicine to hiring. Kahneman's New York Times bestseller offers practical "decision hygiene" techniques to combat the randomness we never see coming.
通过作者的声音感受这本书
将知识转化为引人入胜、富含实例的见解
快速捕捉核心观点,高效学习
以有趣互动的方式享受这本书
Imagine standing before a judge who slept poorly and whose favorite team just lost. Without realizing it, he sentences you to three years-while yesterday, an identical case received six months from a different judge. This isn't dystopian fiction but the reality of what Daniel Kahneman calls "noise"-unwanted variability in judgments that should be identical. While we obsess over bias (systematic errors in one direction), noise (random scatter in all directions) remains largely invisible yet equally destructive. Using a shooting range metaphor, bias is like consistently missing the target in the same direction, while noise is like shots scattered randomly around the bull's-eye. The shocking reality? Noise pervades our most important institutions: doctors disagree on diagnoses, asylum decisions depend on which judge you get, and insurance underwriters quote wildly different premiums for identical risks. What makes noise particularly insidious is that unlike bias, which sometimes reveals itself through patterns, noise remains invisible without deliberate measurement-and when organizations finally measure it, they're typically shocked by what they find.
将《Noise》的核心观点拆解为易于理解的要点,了解创新团队如何创造、协作和成长。
将《Noise》提炼为快速记忆要点,突出坦诚、团队合作和创造力的关键原则。

通过生动的故事体验《Noise》,将创新经验转化为令人难忘且可应用的精彩时刻。
随心提问,选择声音,共同创造真正与你产生共鸣的见解。

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