Norway's Arctic Lawfare Gambit

24 min

How Norway is redefining continental shelf boundaries to bypass the 1920 Svalbard Treaty, using international law to secure exclusive resource rights while forcing Russia and China into difficult strategic choices.

Norway's Arctic Lawfare Gambit

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Feb 2026 analysis of Norway's seabed mining initiatives. Systemic Shift: Norway is redefining the continental shelf definition to bypass the 1920 Svalbard Treaty limitations on resource sharing. This is "Lawfare" (Legal Warfare). The move forces Russia/China to either accept a new legal precedent for the Arctic Ocean or escalate via "Grey Zone" operations (cable cutting/GPS jamming) in the Barents Sea. System Focus: International Law as a mechanism of exclusion.

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