What is *The Avoidable War* by Kevin Rudd about?

*The Avoidable War* analyzes escalating tensions between the U.S. and China, arguing that conflict is not inevitable despite deepening distrust. Kevin Rudd, a former Australian prime minister, explores Xi Jinping’s worldview, identifies 10 potential flashpoints (like Taiwan), and proposes a framework of “managed strategic competition” to prevent war. The book combines historical analysis, geopolitical forecasting, and policy recommendations aimed at fostering competitive coexistence.

Who should read *The Avoidable War*?

This book is essential for policymakers, students of international relations, and readers interested in U.S.-China relations. It offers insights for professionals in defense, diplomacy, or global business seeking to understand systemic risks and strategies for de-escalation. Rudd’s blend of academic rigor and practical diplomacy makes it accessible to both experts and informed general audiences.

What is “managed strategic competition” in *The Avoidable War*?

Rudd’s central concept advocates for structured rivalry where the U.S. and China compete economically and ideologically without military conflict. It involves mutual deterrence, diplomatic channels to manage crises, and agreements to avoid unintended escalation. Critics note the idea lacks detailed implementation steps but praise its focus on coexistence over confrontation.

How does *The Avoidable War* compare to *Destined for War* by Graham Allison?

Unlike Allison’s “Thucydides Trap” framing, which emphasizes historical inevitability, Rudd argues war is preventable through deliberate policy choices. While both analyze U.S.-China rivalry, Rudd prioritizes actionable solutions like transparency measures and crisis hotlines, whereas Allison focuses on historical precedents.

What are the key takeaways from *The Avoidable War*?

- **Distrust drives conflict**: Misperceptions about regime survival and hegemony fuel tensions. - **Taiwan as a flashpoint**: 5 of 10 conflict scenarios involve Taiwan. - **Deterrence + diplomacy**: Combines military preparedness with dialogue to avoid miscalculations. - **Xi’s ideological rigidity**: China’s leader views U.S. containment as an existential threat.

What critiques exist about *The Avoidable War*?

Some experts argue Rudd’s “managed competition” framework is underdeveloped, lacking specifics on enforcement or balancing trade disputes. Others note his analysis of U.S. policymaking oversimplifies partisan dynamics. However, the book is widely praised for its nuanced exploration of Xi’s mindset and accessible synthesis of complex issues.

How does Kevin Rudd analyze Xi Jinping’s worldview in the book?

Rudd identifies 10 “concentric circles” shaping Xi’s ideology, including CCP legitimacy, nationalism, and the belief that the U.S. seeks to block China’s rise. He emphasizes Xi’s focus on total control, historical grievances, and China’s “rightful” global role, arguing these drivers make compromise difficult but not impossible.

What scenarios does *The Avoidable War* outline for U.S.-China conflict?

The book details 10 scenarios, ranked by likelihood: 1. Accidental naval clash in the South China Sea. 2. Crisis over Taiwan’s formal independence declaration. 3. Escalation from cyberattacks or economic coercion. Rudd stresses that none are predestined but require proactive mitigation.

『回避可能な戦争』の要約

米中間の壊滅的な紛争の危険性

ケビン・ラッド

4.24(1531 Reviews)

『回避可能な戦争』の要約の概要

『回避可能な戦争（The Avoidable War）』において、元オーストラリア首相ケビン・ラッドは、米中間の破滅的な事態を回避するための決定的なロードマップを提示しています。中国関係に関する最高の一冊としての評価を確立している、2022年の地政学における必読書である本作は、「管理された戦略的競争」がいかにして数百万人の命を救い得るかを明らかにしています。

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第1章

The Great Power Struggle That Could Redefine Our Century

Kevin Rudd's "The Avoidable War" arrives at a critical inflection point in global politics. As tensions between China and the United States escalate to their highest levels in decades, Rudd offers an insider's perspective on what may be the defining geopolitical relationship of our time. The book has become required reading in diplomatic circles and intelligence agencies worldwide, with former U.S. Secretary of State Henry Kissinger calling it "the most insightful and compelling analysis of U.S.-China relations available." Drawing on his fluency in Mandarin, decades of diplomatic experience, and personal relationships with leaders including Xi Jinping, Rudd provides a roadmap for navigating what he calls "the decade of living dangerously" - the 2020s, when the risk of conflict between these superpowers has never been higher.

第2章

Inside Xi Jinping's Strategic Vision for China and the World

At the heart of China's approach to the United States lies Xi Jinping's unprecedented consolidation of power and his vision for China's future. Unlike his predecessors who followed Deng Xiaoping's cautious maxim to "hide your strength; bide your time; never take the lead," Xi has boldly declared that "time and momentum are on our side." This dramatic shift reflects Xi's confidence in China's rising power and his determination to restore what he sees as China's rightful place in the global order. Xi has methodically eliminated political rivals through an anti-corruption campaign that served both legitimate and political purposes. He has abandoned any pretense of liberalization, tightened party control over business, and stoked nationalist, anti-American sentiment throughout Chinese society. Under his leadership, China has moved away from Deng's market reforms toward a more state-controlled economy while pursuing an increasingly assertive foreign policy. From Washington's perspective, Xi aims to export his political model globally by leveraging China's economic influence. His goal appears to be creating an international system that accommodates Chinese interests and values rather than Western ones. With the removal of presidential term limits in 2018, Xi could potentially remain China's paramount leader well into the 2030s - precisely when China will likely become the world's largest economy, emboldening him to pursue even more ambitious global objectives. Xi's understanding of America exceeds any American leader's understanding of China. He visited the U.S. as a junior official in the 1980s, staying with an Iowa family, and later as vice president hosted by Joe Biden. His daughter attended Harvard. However, Xi neither speaks nor reads English, meaning his understanding comes through official translations and briefings that lack nuance and tend toward negativity - a situation compounded by officials' fear of providing analyses that contradict his worldview.

聴きながら、すべての言葉を目で追えます

『回避可能な戦争』の要約の一語一語が音声に合わせてリアルタイムでハイライトされ、自然に読み進められます。

第3章

The Dangerous Dance of Great Powers

The relationship between China and the United States has deteriorated dramatically in recent years, creating what Harvard's Graham Allison calls a "Thucydidean dynamic." In Thucydides's analysis of the Peloponnesian War, "it was the rise of Athens and the fear that this instilled in Sparta that made war inevitable." This trap occurs when a rising power threatens to displace a ruling power, creating structural stress that historically leads to violent conflict. Of the 16 such cases Allison studied over the past 500 years, 12 ended in war. The elements of Thucydides's Trap are already present in today's U.S.-China relationship. China's military modernization extends far beyond Taiwan contingencies, with its expanding navy, submarine capabilities, and first-ever blue-water fleet enabling force projection across the Indo-Pacific and beyond. The People's Liberation Army Navy now possesses the largest naval force in the world by number of ships, including two aircraft carriers with a third under construction. Beijing has established a string of available ports from Southeast Asia to East Africa, known as the "String of Pearls," and conducts increasingly sophisticated joint military exercises with Russia. Chinese technological advances in space, cyber, and AI, coupled with successful intelligence operations penetrating American computer systems and research institutions, have convinced Washington that China's strategic ambitions are both regional and global. This military buildup occurs against a backdrop of deep mutual distrust and competing narratives about international order. Most Americans struggle to understand China's politics and decision-making processes - unsurprising given the linguistic, cultural and philosophical divides. The Chinese Communist Party's opaque nature and centralized control further complicate efforts to interpret Beijing's true intentions. This creates profound uncertainty about what China represents and what its rise means for American interests and global leadership. The deepening chasm of distrust has grown over years, with each side viewing the other's diplomatic language as fiction. Washington no longer believes in China's "peaceful rise," while Beijing rejects American claims it has no interest in "containment." Recent flashpoints - from trade disputes and technology competition to tensions over Taiwan and the South China Sea - have only heightened these suspicions. The economic interdependence between the two powers adds another layer of complexity to this relationship. Unlike the Cold War's relatively clear division between the U.S. and Soviet blocs, China and America remain deeply integrated through trade, investment, and global supply chains. This creates what some scholars call "weaponized interdependence," where economic ties can become tools of strategic competition. The challenge for both nations lies in managing this rivalry without triggering the very conflict that historical precedent suggests is likely.

第4章

Xi's Concentric Circles of Strategic Interest

To understand China's strategy toward the United States requires placing America within Xi Jinping's broader worldview, which comprises ten concentric circles of interest beginning with his own position in the party and expanding outward through domestic priorities to international aspirations. The first circle is maintaining the Communist Party's power, with Xi determined to secure his position and establish a legacy surpassing Deng Xiaoping's and equaling Mao Zedong's. The second focuses on preserving China's unity and territorial integrity, with Taiwan's "return" representing the final unfinished task from Mao's 1949 revolution. The third prioritizes economic prosperity as essential for maintaining living standards and social stability, while the fourth addresses environmental challenges that have emerged as critical priorities after decades of devastating pollution. The fifth circle involves military modernization, with Xi transforming the PLA from a mass land army into a technologically advanced force capable of rivaling competitors and projecting power beyond China's shores. The sixth focuses on managing China's fourteen neighboring states through political and economic diplomacy to secure accommodating relationships. The seventh aims to secure China's maritime periphery by creating sufficient doubt in American minds about winning any armed conflict in the region. The eighth extends China's influence across the Eurasian continent through initiatives like the Belt and Road. The ninth circle involves building extensive ties in the developing world, where China has made its economic relationships more important than those countries' ties to America through large-scale trade and investment. The final circle aims to reshape the institutional rules and norms governing the international order, challenging American leadership through changing existing norms, installing China-friendly candidates in leadership positions of international institutions, and creating new multilateral institutions outside the UN and Bretton Woods framework.

『回避可能な戦争』の要約をもっと深く楽しむ

毎日の新しい気づきを10万件以上のレッスンから
言葉をハイライトして音声と同期
ライブラリを保存して、どの端末からでも利用

第5章

The Politics of Staying in Power

Xi Jinping's absolute top priority is ensuring the Communist Party remains permanently in power with himself as paramount leader. Haunted by the Soviet Communist Party's 1991 collapse, Xi is determined to prevent a similar fate in China. He has systematically reversed the trend of party powers migrating to state bureaucracy, bringing the party back to the epicenter of political and economic policy-making while reasserting Marxist-Leninist ideology across Chinese life. This includes mandatory party education in schools, universities, and workplaces, along with the establishment of party committees in private companies and joint ventures. Xi's cornerstone vision is the China Dream, defined by two major milestones: becoming a "moderately prosperous society" by 2021 (achieved by doubling per capita income to $10,000 from 2010 levels) and becoming a fully advanced economy by 2049 (the PRC's centenary) with income levels matching America's. This would achieve what Xi calls "the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation" - restoring China to its central global role held before the Century of Humiliation. The vision encompasses military modernization, technological self-sufficiency, and cultural influence, aiming to make China a comprehensive global power. Economic growth remains the core of this dream, creating significant tension between Xi's economic objectives and his political goal of maximizing party control. This tension has manifested in increasing state intervention in private businesses, with party secretaries embedded in firms and heated debate over state equity acquisition in successful private companies. The government has implemented a "mixed ownership" model, encouraging state-owned enterprises to acquire stakes in private firms, while also imposing stricter regulatory oversight on key sectors like technology, education, and real estate. The crackdown on Jack Ma and his companies Alibaba and Ant Group in 2020-2021 exemplifies this tension. After Ma's public criticism of financial regulators, authorities suspended Ant Group's IPO, launched antitrust investigations into Alibaba, and imposed record fines. This demonstrated Xi's willingness to subordinate even China's most successful private enterprises to party control, despite risking business confidence, investment, and capital flight that could undermine China's economic growth. Similar regulatory actions against other tech giants like Tencent and Didi have reinforced this message, creating uncertainty in China's private sector. The party has also expanded its surveillance capabilities through social credit systems, facial recognition technology, and digital payment monitoring, ensuring comprehensive oversight of both society and economy. This has been accompanied by an intensified anti-corruption campaign that serves both to clean up governance and eliminate potential political rivals, consolidating Xi's power while maintaining popular support through appeals to nationalism and promises of continued prosperity.

第6章

Taiwan: The Most Dangerous Flashpoint

Many Americans underestimate how central Taiwan is to the CCP's priorities and China's view of its relationship with the United States. While often marginal in Washington policy debates, Taiwan remains core to Beijing's concerns. In Beijing's eyes, the U.S. represents the paramount obstacle to completing China's "sacred historical mission" of national unification. This mission dates back to 1949 when the Nationalist forces retreated to Taiwan, creating what Beijing views as an unfinished civil war. The CCP has made the reunification of Taiwan a cornerstone of its "national rejuvenation" campaign and Xi Jinping's "China Dream." The Taiwan situation has grown more volatile since democratization in the 1990s. Beijing's gradualist strategy of economic absorption, which included preferential trade agreements, business investments, and cultural exchanges, suffered a significant setback in 2019 when Hong Kong's autonomy was crushed through the implementation of the national security law. This action effectively destroyed any remaining Taiwanese support for the "one country, two systems" model, which Beijing had proposed as a framework for reunification. Recent polls show that over 80% of Taiwanese reject this model, and support for maintaining the status quo or moving toward independence has strengthened. Xi has concluded the gradualist approach failed, merely giving pro-independence forces time to cultivate nationalist sentiment among younger Taiwanese generations, who increasingly identify as distinctly Taiwanese rather than Chinese. This demographic shift poses a significant challenge to Beijing's reunification goals, as younger Taiwanese show little interest in closer ties with mainland China. After the Democratic Progressive Party's Tsai Ing-wen won reelection in 2020, Xi publicly reaffirmed China's willingness to use force for reunification, warning Taiwan that independence would "only bring profound disaster." He has accelerated military modernization specifically for Taiwan contingencies, including developing amphibious assault capabilities, advanced missile systems, and cyber warfare tools. The People's Liberation Army has increased naval exercises simulating blockades in the Taiwan Strait, with record numbers of aircraft incursions into Taiwan's air defense identification zone. Beijing has also launched aggressive diplomatic campaigns to isolate Taiwan internationally, pressuring countries to cut formal ties and blocking Taiwan's participation in international organizations like the WHO. Xi is likely working on a timeline to secure Taiwan during his political lifetime - possibly by the mid-2030s - making Beijing's approach increasingly hard-line throughout the 2020s. This timeline aligns with the PLA's modernization goals and China's broader strategic objectives. Military analysts suggest that China's military capabilities for a Taiwan invasion will reach their peak around 2027-2035, creating a dangerous window of opportunity that could tempt Beijing to act, especially if they perceive weakness in U.S. commitment to Taiwan's defense or internal political instability in Taiwan itself.

聴きながら、すべての言葉を目で追えます

『回避可能な戦争』の要約の一語一語が音声に合わせてリアルタイムでハイライトされ、自然に読み進められます。

第7章

China's Military Transformation Under Xi

Xi Jinping views military strength as the ultimate linchpin of China's future power, declaring: "Without a strong military, the country can neither be safe nor strong." Unlike his predecessors, Xi has launched fundamental reforms to transform the PLA from an antiquated Mao-era force focused on continental defense into a high-tech military capable of projecting air and naval power beyond China's shores. Xi's 2015 military strategy document marks a significant shift with four major elements: embracing informationized warfare across all domains; emphasizing integrated joint operations; elevating naval power in China's strategy; and extending China's maritime operations beyond "near seas" to "open seas" and "far seas" as part of a new forward defense strategy. This approach fundamentally transforms the PLA from its historical focus on internal security to projecting power beyond China's shores, directly challenging American naval dominance in the western Pacific. The 2015 strategy declares "the traditional mentality that land outweighs sea must be abandoned," calling instead for "highlighting maritime military struggle." This doctrinal shift extends China's military reach to the mid-Pacific through antiaccess/area denial strategies against US forces, while securing sea lines of communication and protecting Chinese interests abroad. China commissioned its first domestically-built aircraft carrier in 2019, with four more planned by 2035. Xi has placed information technology at the center of military strategy, emphasizing long-range smart weapons, unmanned equipment, and cyberspace as "the commanding heights in strategic competition." He has also rapidly accelerated China's offensive and defensive cyber capabilities and declared China's ambition to become "a major global space player by around 2030" and the "global leader in space equipment and technology by 2045."

第8章

America's Strategic Awakening

The history of the twentieth century demonstrates that American power, once fully awakened and harnessed, can be formidable. Following Xi Jinping's strategic shifts, evidence suggests America has begun to stir from what Rudd calls its "strategic slumber." Politicians taking a hard line on China now enjoy broad public support, with 76 percent of Americans holding unfavorable views of China in 2021 - a historic high, up from just 40 percent in 2012. A bipartisan 63 percent identify China as a critical threat to America's vital interests, while the number of Americans labeling China their greatest enemy doubled in a single year to 45 percent. In 2018, Foreign Affairs published "The China Reckoning" by Kurt Campbell and Ely Ratner, both former Obama officials who would later join the Biden administration. The article captured Washington's profound shift - a shattering of the consensus on engagement with China. By Trump's first year in office, this coalesced into a new strategic consensus embodied in three key documents that explicitly rejected the decades-old assumption that supporting China's rise would liberalize it, instead declaring China a "rival" seeking "to displace the United States in the Indo-Pacific region." When President Biden took office in January 2021, he demonstrated striking continuity in both the strategic thrust and many details of Trump's approach to China, while moderating the rhetorical tone and launching a diplomatic offensive to reassure allies that America remained reliable. This confirms that U.S.-China relations have entered a radically different era compared to pre-2017, regardless of which party holds power in Washington.

『回避可能な戦争』の要約をもっと深く楽しむ

毎日の新しい気づきを10万件以上のレッスンから
言葉をハイライトして音声と同期
ライブラリを保存して、どの端末からでも利用

第9章

The Decade of Living Dangerously

Rudd presents multiple scenarios for how U.S.-China relations might unfold by 2030, ranging from Chinese military action against Taiwan to a new Cold War standoff. The sobering reality is that five of the ten scenarios involve major armed conflict. Wars radically change history in unpredictable ways, as evidenced by the collapse of empires after World War I, the rise of fascism and Bolshevism in the 1920s and 1930s, and the chaotic interwar period that reshaped global power dynamics. The Spanish Civil War and Japan's invasion of China in the 1930s similarly demonstrated how regional conflicts can rapidly escalate into global confrontations. One of the most likely unintentional conflict scenarios could arise from collision between Chinese and American naval vessels in the South China Sea, where several near misses have already occurred. In 2018 alone, the USS Decatur came within 45 yards of a Chinese destroyer, while multiple other incidents involved dangerous maneuvers and aggressive positioning. Despite bilateral protocols to manage incidents, such as the Code for Unplanned Encounters at Sea (CUES) and the Military Maritime Consultative Agreement (MMCA), collisions causing vessel sinking or loss of life could trigger rapid escalation. The proliferation of Chinese coast guard, customs, fisheries, and intelligence vessels engaged in "gray-zone" activities exponentially increases the probability of incidents. These vessels often operate under ambiguous command structures and with unclear rules of engagement, creating additional layers of risk. Xi's optimal scenario would see China achieving regional and global preeminence by decade's end without firing a shot. Under this "peaceful rise" strategy, America and its allies would conclude that China's momentum was unstoppable without crippling expenditure of blood and treasure. This scenario depends on three critical variables: success of China's economic model adjustment from export-led growth to domestic consumption, closing the technology gap with America in crucial sectors like semiconductors and artificial intelligence, and America's inability to rebuild its power and harness allies into an effective counterbalancing coalition. China's Belt and Road Initiative, military modernization program, and diplomatic efforts in the Global South all support this strategic vision of displacing American influence through primarily non-military means. The increasing militarization of space and cyberspace adds new dimensions of risk, as does the integration of artificial intelligence into military systems. These technological developments could lead to faster escalation cycles and reduced human decision-making time in crisis situations. Additionally, the competition for critical resources, including rare earth minerals and semiconductor manufacturing capacity, creates potential flashpoints beyond traditional territorial disputes.

第10章

The Case for Managed Strategic Competition

Rudd argues that the best way forward may be a framework of managed strategic competition anchored in three core propositions: First, both sides must understand each other's strategic redlines to prevent conflict through miscalculation. Second, they should channel rivalry into competition for military, economic, and technological capabilities, deterring armed conflict while maximizing their appeal globally. Third, this framework would create space for strategic cooperation in defined areas of mutual interest. Despite widespread skepticism, the U.S. and China need procedures and mechanisms similar to those established between the U.S. and Soviet Union after the Cuban Missile Crisis - preferably without first experiencing a near-death confrontation. This framework would establish hard limits on security policies while allowing full competition diplomatically, economically, and ideologically. Building this framework requires identifying immediate steps for substantive dialogue and agreeing to hard limits. Both sides could abstain from cyberattacks on critical infrastructure. Washington could return to strictly adhering to the One-China policy, while Beijing could reduce provocative military exercises in the Taiwan Strait. China could commit to not reclaiming or militarizing more islands in the South China Sea and respect freedom of navigation, allowing the U.S. to reduce operations there. Within agreed guardrails, both sides would continue competing for strategic and economic influence globally. Despite competition, space would remain for cooperation in critical areas, as occurred between the U.S. and Soviet Union during the Cold War. Beyond climate change collaboration, the countries could conduct nuclear arms control negotiations, work on North Korean nuclear disarmament, prevent Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons, undertake regional confidence-building measures, improve global financial stability, and jointly build better vaccine distribution systems for developing nations.

聴きながら、すべての言葉を目で追えます

『回避可能な戦争』の要約の一語一語が音声に合わせてリアルタイムでハイライトされ、自然に読み進められます。

第11章

A Call for Strategic Wisdom

The underpinning logic of managed strategic competition may appear contradictory, as it provides both China and the United States opportunities to advance their respective objectives. But that's precisely the point - for any framework to effectively reduce conflict risk, it must be balanced and acceptable to both capitals. While imperfect, this approach presents only two alternatives: managed competition with clear rules and peace prospects, or unmanaged competition with no guardrails and growing risks of crisis, conflict, or war. Historical examples like the Cold War demonstrate how established protocols and communication channels, even between adversaries, can prevent catastrophic escalation. Few armchair strategists have seriously contemplated the human cost of a U.S.-China conflict - the deaths of Chinese, American and Taiwanese service members and civilians - or how the CCP would see itself fighting for survival, potentially escalating to weapons of mass destruction. Military simulations suggest casualties could reach into the hundreds of thousands within days. Economic modeling indicates that even a limited conflict could trigger a global depression, disrupting supply chains and devastating Asian economies. There's no guarantee any war would remain limited, as preemption or rapid escalation incentives could prove irresistible during crisis. The interconnected nature of modern economies and military technologies makes containment particularly challenging. This deeply realist approach accepts strategic realities rather than wishing them away. It doesn't rely on trust but on minimum rules with clear guidance and verification processes, similar to arms control agreements of the past. Practical measures could include military-to-military hotlines, cyber incident protocols, and crisis communication mechanisms. Regular strategic dialogues between senior officials can help manage tensions before they escalate. However, if successful in delivering strategic stability, new trust levels may emerge through experience, potentially leading to new modes of thinking about each other. Common global challenges like climate change, pandemics, and technological disruption might assume greater importance as interstate rivalry subsides. Both nations have demonstrated capacity for cooperation on specific issues, as seen in joint climate commitments and pandemic response efforts. But first we must navigate through this most dangerous decade of the 2020s, where technological advancement, military modernization, and geopolitical tensions create unprecedented risks. Success requires not just diplomatic skill but strategic patience and wisdom from both sides to recognize their mutual interest in avoiding catastrophic conflict.

★★★★★

『回避可能な戦争』の要約を最後まで読み終えました

“23日間、毎日使い続けています。今では日課の一部です。”

jayallen

『回避可能な戦争』の要約の主要テーマ

us-china strategic competition
thucydides trap
xi jinping's worldview
managed strategic alignment
indo-pacific security dynamics

『回避可能な戦争』の要約の名言集

Xi's understanding of America exceeds any American leader's understanding of China.
Washington no longer believes in China's peaceful rise.
The deepening chasm of distrust has grown over years, with each side viewing the other's diplomatic language as fiction.
The challenge for both nations lies in managing this rivalry without triggering the very conflict that historical precedent suggests is likely.

『回避可能な戦争』の要約の登場人物

Kevin RuddAuthor, former diplomat, and expert on China
Xi JinpingPresident of China and General Secretary of CCP
Deng XiaopingFormer Chinese leader known for market reforms
Joe BidenU.S. leader who hosted Xi during his vice presidency
Graham AllisonHarvard scholar who defined the Thucydides's Trap

著者について

『The Avoidable War（回避可能な戦争）』の著者であるケビン・マイケル・ラッドは、オーストラリアの外交官であり、元首相、そして地政学的戦略と米中関係における第一人者です。第26代オーストラリア首相（2007年〜2010年、2013年）を務め、現在は駐米大使を務めるラッドは、堪能な中国語と中国政治に関する深い専門知識を含む、数十年にわたる国際外交の経験を活かしています。

世界のパワーダイナミクスを鋭く分析した彼の著書は、中国研究のアカデミックな背景や、2007年から2008年の金融危機時における危機管理リーダーシップに裏打ちされた、紛争回避と多国間協力に対する彼の長年の関心を反映しています。

ラッドの洞察は、『フィナンシャル・タイムズ』、『ニューヨーク・タイムズ』、そしてBBCやCNNといった主要メディアネットワークで定期的に取り上げられています。彼はまた、現代中国の統治に関する分析をさらに深めた著書『On Xi Jinping: How Xi’s Marxist Nationalism is Changing China and the World（習近平について：習のマルクス主義的ナショナリズムはいかに中国と世界を変えているか）』の著者でもあります。ハーバード・ケネディ・スクールのシニア・フェローおよびアジア・ソサエティ政策研究所の名誉会長を務めるラッドは、学術的な厳密さと実世界の政策立案経験を兼ね備えています。『The Avoidable War』は、高まる世界的な緊張を乗り越えるための実行可能な枠組みを提示していると称賛され、21世紀の地政学における卓越した論客としてのラッドの評価を確固たるものにしました。

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This course bridges the gap between ancient wisdom and modern survival, offering a deep dive into the mechanics of influence and tactical superiority. It is essential for leaders, entrepreneurs, and strategists who need to navigate high-stakes environments where psychological insight and political acumen are the primary tools for success.

6 h 4 m•4 セクション

コロンビア大学卒業生が開発 | サンフランシスコ発

BeFreedは好奇心旺盛な仲間が集うグローバルコミュニティ

4.7

平均評価

7,840件以上のアプリ評価

BeFreedコミュニティ

正直、まだアプリを使いこなせていませんが、この数日使っただけで本当に感動しました… BeFreed は、今まで使ったどの学習アプリともレベルが違います。夢中になれるうえに集中力も実際に上がるので、スマホをだらだら見てしまう人にぴったりです！

@ladyInfinity

ちょうど 23 日前に BeFreed を購入して、それから毎日欠かさず使っています。仕事の流れと学習習慣に完全に溶け込みました。

@jayallen

正直なところ、このアプリは期待をすべて超えてきました。どんなテーマでも音声を生成してもらえて、その結果には驚かされます。私の専門は心理療法で、多分野にまたがる領域ですが、それでも回答はとても正確です。

@Raguipa

何よりありがたいのは、スマホをだらだら見る時間が減ったことです。探す時間が減って、吸収する時間が増えました。オーディオブック、ポッドキャスト、学習プランの組み合わせが素晴らしいです。

@colonyofcreatorsNGO

私は 24 年間、PhotoReading 加速学習のインストラクターをしています… 本と読書と学びが私の専門ですが、BeFreed は情報を消化しやすい形で届ける革新的なアプローチを見事に実現しています。

@BeFreed user

ただの本の要約アプリではありません。「ファン」スタイルを使ってみたら、従来のやり方よりずっと良い要約で、アイデアもつかみやすいです。これだけでも十分元が取れます。

@austinakon

このアプリが大好きです。数日使っただけで、聞くのが止まらなくなりました。始め方として最高です。

@jcrules328

本当に気に入っています。約 1 か月試していますが、まさに掘り出し物だと感じます。BeFreed で自分だけのテーマを作れるのが便利で、声も素晴らしく、ナレーションの選択肢は無限です。

@DanielCZ

正直、まだアプリを使いこなせていませんが、この数日使っただけで本当に感動しました… BeFreed は、今まで使ったどの学習アプリともレベルが違います。夢中になれるうえに集中力も実際に上がるので、スマホをだらだら見てしまう人にぴったりです！

@ladyInfinity

ちょうど 23 日前に BeFreed を購入して、それから毎日欠かさず使っています。仕事の流れと学習習慣に完全に溶け込みました。

@jayallen

正直なところ、このアプリは期待をすべて超えてきました。どんなテーマでも音声を生成してもらえて、その結果には驚かされます。私の専門は心理療法で、多分野にまたがる領域ですが、それでも回答はとても正確です。

@Raguipa

何よりありがたいのは、スマホをだらだら見る時間が減ったことです。探す時間が減って、吸収する時間が増えました。オーディオブック、ポッドキャスト、学習プランの組み合わせが素晴らしいです。

@colonyofcreatorsNGO

私は 24 年間、PhotoReading 加速学習のインストラクターをしています… 本と読書と学びが私の専門ですが、BeFreed は情報を消化しやすい形で届ける革新的なアプローチを見事に実現しています。

@BeFreed user

ただの本の要約アプリではありません。「ファン」スタイルを使ってみたら、従来のやり方よりずっと良い要約で、アイデアもつかみやすいです。これだけでも十分元が取れます。

@austinakon

このアプリが大好きです。数日使っただけで、聞くのが止まらなくなりました。始め方として最高です。

@jcrules328

本当に気に入っています。約 1 か月試していますが、まさに掘り出し物だと感じます。BeFreed で自分だけのテーマを作れるのが便利で、声も素晴らしく、ナレーションの選択肢は無限です。

@DanielCZ

役立つ情報やアイデアを 8〜15 分のポッドキャスト風音声にぎゅっとまとめて聞けるのが最高です。ポッドキャストは余計な話が多くて苦手でしたが、これは無駄を全部そぎ落としてくれます。

@BeFreed user

博士課程の仕上げの段階で、なじみのない資料を大量に読む必要があります… BeFreed ならプロンプトを入力するだけで、アプリが資料を探して音声ポッドキャストを作ってくれます。BeFreed のほうが NotebookLM よりも流れがスムーズだと感じます。

@Brad

朝食を作りながら、散歩しながら、通勤しながら聞くものを YouTube でよく探していましたが、BeFreed は広告も余計な話もなしで、もっと的を絞った聞き方をさせてくれます！

@BeFreed user

このプラットフォームの一番の魅力は、その万能さです。扱えないテーマは文字どおりひとつもありません。何を投げても応えてくれます… 制限がまったくないのに約束をきちんと果たしてくれる学習ツールには、なかなか出会えません。

@jayallen

BeFreed は素晴らしいです。使いやすいデザインのおかげで、操作に迷う時間が減り、学ぶ時間が増えました。オーディオブック、ポッドキャスト、学習プランの組み合わせは天才的で、毎日の習慣がすっかり変わりました。

@BeFreed user

最初はイタリア語でポッドキャストを作る方法を理解するのに少し時間がかかりましたが、わかった瞬間、最高でした！どんなテーマでも説明してもらえて、しかもとても賢く、うまく話してくれます！

@matteo77

BeFreed は毎日使うオーディオブックアプリになりました… 一番気に入っているのは、自分のテキストを入れると、外出先でも聞ける音声にしてくれるところです。

@kotanzu1

役立つ情報やアイデアを 8〜15 分のポッドキャスト風音声にぎゅっとまとめて聞けるのが最高です。ポッドキャストは余計な話が多くて苦手でしたが、これは無駄を全部そぎ落としてくれます。

@BeFreed user

博士課程の仕上げの段階で、なじみのない資料を大量に読む必要があります… BeFreed ならプロンプトを入力するだけで、アプリが資料を探して音声ポッドキャストを作ってくれます。BeFreed のほうが NotebookLM よりも流れがスムーズだと感じます。

@Brad

朝食を作りながら、散歩しながら、通勤しながら聞くものを YouTube でよく探していましたが、BeFreed は広告も余計な話もなしで、もっと的を絞った聞き方をさせてくれます！

@BeFreed user

このプラットフォームの一番の魅力は、その万能さです。扱えないテーマは文字どおりひとつもありません。何を投げても応えてくれます… 制限がまったくないのに約束をきちんと果たしてくれる学習ツールには、なかなか出会えません。

@jayallen

BeFreed は素晴らしいです。使いやすいデザインのおかげで、操作に迷う時間が減り、学ぶ時間が増えました。オーディオブック、ポッドキャスト、学習プランの組み合わせは天才的で、毎日の習慣がすっかり変わりました。

@BeFreed user

最初はイタリア語でポッドキャストを作る方法を理解するのに少し時間がかかりましたが、わかった瞬間、最高でした！どんなテーマでも説明してもらえて、しかもとても賢く、うまく話してくれます！

@matteo77

BeFreed は毎日使うオーディオブックアプリになりました… 一番気に入っているのは、自分のテキストを入れると、外出先でも聞ける音声にしてくれるところです。

@kotanzu1

BeFreedがウェブ上でどのように話題になっているかをもっと見る

今すぐ学習の旅を始めよう

第6章

『回避可能な戦争』の要約

『回避可能な戦争』の要約の概要

『回避可能な戦争』の要約をさまざまな学習スタイルで探る

The Great Power Struggle That Could Redefine Our Century

Inside Xi Jinping's Strategic Vision for China and the World

聴きながら、すべての言葉を目で追えます

The Dangerous Dance of Great Powers

Xi's Concentric Circles of Strategic Interest

『回避可能な戦争』の要約をもっと深く楽しむ

The Politics of Staying in Power

Taiwan: The Most Dangerous Flashpoint

聴きながら、すべての言葉を目で追えます

China's Military Transformation Under Xi

America's Strategic Awakening

『回避可能な戦争』の要約をもっと深く楽しむ

The Decade of Living Dangerously

The Case for Managed Strategic Competition

聴きながら、すべての言葉を目で追えます

A Call for Strategic Wisdom

『回避可能な戦争』の要約を最後まで読み終えました

『回避可能な戦争』の要約の主要テーマ

『回避可能な戦争』の要約の名言集

『回避可能な戦争』の要約の登場人物

著者について

回避可能な戦争の要約をダウンロード

他のユーザーのお気に入り

『回避可能な戦争』の要約についてのよくある質問

What is The Avoidable War by Kevin Rudd about?

Who should read The Avoidable War?

What is “managed strategic competition” in The Avoidable War?

How does The Avoidable War compare to Destined for War by Graham Allison?

この学習プランの一部

South & East Asia Geopolitics Study Plan

Pacific Geopolitics Learning Plan

もっと見る

BeFreedは好奇心旺盛な仲間が集うグローバルコミュニティ

『回避可能な戦争』の要約をさまざまな学習スタイルで探る

The Great Power Struggle That Could Redefine Our Century

Inside Xi Jinping's Strategic Vision for China and the World

聴きながら、すべての言葉を目で追えます

The Dangerous Dance of Great Powers

Xi's Concentric Circles of Strategic Interest

『回避可能な戦争』の要約をもっと深く楽しむ

The Politics of Staying in Power

Taiwan: The Most Dangerous Flashpoint

聴きながら、すべての言葉を目で追えます

China's Military Transformation Under Xi

America's Strategic Awakening

『回避可能な戦争』の要約をもっと深く楽しむ

The Decade of Living Dangerously

The Case for Managed Strategic Competition

聴きながら、すべての言葉を目で追えます

A Call for Strategic Wisdom

『回避可能な戦争』の要約を最後まで読み終えました

他のユーザーのお気に入り

この学習プランの一部

South & East Asia Geopolitics Study Plan

Pacific Geopolitics Learning Plan

もっと見る