
Jim Paul's cautionary tale of losing a million dollars teaches what most finance books don't - how not to lose money. This Axiom Award winner reveals why emotional control trumps strategy, making it required reading for traders who want lasting success.
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Jim Paul's journey from Kentucky caddy to Chicago trading titan-and his subsequent financial implosion-offers a masterclass in market psychology. At nine years old, Paul got his first taste of wealth caddying at Summit Hills Country Club. Watching members with their Cadillacs and country club lifestyles planted a seed: what mattered wasn't what you did, but how much you got paid doing it. This philosophy guided his unconventional path through college, military service, and eventually to the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, where his aggressive style and strategic networking propelled him to the inner circle of market power. By 1980, Paul had it all-handling 25% of daily lumber contracts, serving on the CME's Executive Committee, and earning hundreds of thousands annually. His success reinforced a dangerous belief: he was special, different, better than others. When the lumber market dried up in 1983, he pivoted to soybean oil spreads, building massive positions that initially paid off spectacularly. One day alone netted him $248,000-vindication of his self-perceived genius. Then the market turned. For months, Paul lost $20,000-$25,000 daily while rationalizing every drop. Sophisticated clients bailed out, but he held on, convinced the world would run out of bean oil and he'd make $10 million. By October, his positions had plummeted, and margin calls mounted. In just 75 days, he lost everything-money, exchange membership, job, and self-respect. What went wrong? He'd never actually been a trader-just a well-connected salesman who confused luck with skill.
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