
In a world of diminishing returns, AQR's Antti Ilmanen delivers the investment blueprint endorsed by Harvard's Lawrence Summers. What if the secret to thriving when markets offer the least lies in timeless wisdom that even CalSTRS' Christopher Ailman calls "solid investment wisdom"?
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Imagine standing in the heart of New York's financial district, where investment professionals huddle around conference tables confronting an uncomfortable truth: the era of easy returns is over. This isn't just another market cycle - it's a fundamental shift in the investment landscape. For decades, investors enjoyed both the fruit (income) and watched the trees grow taller (capital appreciation). Now those trees have reached their maximum height, leaving only diminished fruit yields as return. We've effectively "borrowed returns from the future" through one-time windfall gains that cannot be repeated. This challenging environment stems from post-financial crisis slow growth and persistently low interest rates, creating a mathematical reality that's both simple and brutal: when discount rates approach zero, everything appears expensive.
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