
Debunking energy fallacies with scientific rigor, Vaclav Smil's eye-opening analysis challenges our assumptions about renewable transitions. Bill Gates recommends this controversial masterpiece that reveals why our energy future isn't what we've been promised - and what realistic solutions actually look like.
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Why do we keep falling for the same energy fantasies? Every generation seems convinced that some revolutionary technology-electric cars, nuclear power too cheap to meter, backyard solar panels-will transform civilization within a decade. Yet here we are, still burning fossil fuels much as we did fifty years ago. This pattern of hype and disappointment isn't just frustrating; it's dangerous. When we chase mirages, we miss opportunities for genuine progress. Energy transitions happen slowly, constrained by physics, economics, and the sheer scale of our infrastructure. Understanding why our predictions fail so spectacularly reveals more than technical limitations-it exposes how wishful thinking, political pressure, and ideological fervor repeatedly cloud our judgment about civilization's most fundamental need. The summer of 2008 brought record oil prices and ambitious proposals. Al Gore called for 100% renewable electricity within just ten years, claiming the goal was "achievable, affordable and transformative." These proposals share a fatal flaw with previous failed forecasts: they ignore the inherently slow pace of energy transitions and the massive infrastructure investments that took more than a century to build.