Irrational Exuberance by Robert J. Shiller Summary
Overview of Irrational Exuberance
Nobel Prize-winner Robert Shiller's "Irrational Exuberance" predicted both the dot-com crash and housing bubble. Published precisely at Nasdaq's peak before its collapse, this economic prophecy earned Nassim Taleb's admiration and sparked fierce debates with Eugene Fama about market efficiency.
Similar books to Irrational Exuberance
通过作者的声音感受这本书
将知识转化为引人入胜、富含实例的见解
快速捕捉核心观点，高效学习
以有趣互动的方式享受这本书
核心要点
The Market's Emotional Rollercoaster: Understanding Financial Manias
When Alan Greenspan uttered the phrase "irrational exuberance" in 1996, markets worldwide tumbled. Yet the Dow would triple before spectacularly crashing in 2000-exactly as economist Robert Shiller had predicted. What drives rational people to collectively lose their minds when it comes to asset prices? The answer lies in a powerful psychological feedback loop: news of price increases sparks enthusiasm, which spreads like a contagion, drawing in larger classes of investors. This creates a naturally occurring Ponzi scheme where early investors profit from later arrivals, all driven by the infectious narrative that prices will continue rising indefinitely. History reveals this pattern repeating with remarkable consistency. Looking at U.S. stock data since 1881, Shiller identified only three periods before 2000 when price-earnings ratios reached extraordinary heights-each followed by devastating crashes and decades of subpar returns. When Shiller constructed his Cyclically Adjusted Price-Earnings ratio (CAPE), he discovered the Millennium Boom's peak CAPE of 47.2 far exceeded even the 1929 peak of 32.6. The market wasn't responding to fundamentals-it was caught in the grip of a powerful psychological phenomenon that would eventually unravel with devastating consequences.
The Perfect Storm: What Ignites Market Bubbles
The Feedback Loop: How Bubbles Feed Themselves
The "New Era" Illusion: How We Justify the Madness
The Psychology Behind Market Madness
The Herd Mentality: Ideas Spreading Like Wildfire
Beyond Efficient Markets: Embracing Human Reality
快速摘要模式 - 10分钟阅读或收听《Irrational Exuberance》摘要
将《Irrational Exuberance》的核心观点拆解为易于理解的要点，了解创新团队如何创造、协作和成长。
闪卡模式 - 《Irrational Exuberance》精华：10条核心见解
将《Irrational Exuberance》提炼为快速记忆要点，突出坦诚、团队合作和创造力的关键原则。
趣味模式 - 《Irrational Exuberance》的启示 - 22分钟故事
通过生动的故事体验《Irrational Exuberance》，将创新经验转化为令人难忘且可应用的精彩时刻。
个性化模式 - 0分钟阅读或收听《Irrational Exuberance》摘要
随心提问，选择声音，共同创造真正与你产生共鸣的见解。
"Instead of endless scrolling, I just hit play on BeFreed. It saves me so much time."
"I never knew where to start with nonfiction—BeFreed’s book lists turned into podcasts gave me a clear path."
"Perfect balance between learning and entertainment. Finished ‘Thinking, Fast and Slow’ on my commute this week."
"Crazy how much I learned while walking the dog. BeFreed = small habits → big gains."
"Reading used to feel like a chore. Now it’s just part of my lifestyle."
"Feels effortless compared to reading. I’ve finished 6 books this month already."
"BeFreed turned my guilty doomscrolling into something that feels productive and inspiring."
"BeFreed turned my commute into learning time. 20-min podcasts are perfect for finishing books I never had time for."
"BeFreed replaced my podcast queue. Imagine Spotify for books — that’s it. 🙌"
"It is great for me to learn something from the book without reading it."
"The themed book list podcasts help me connect ideas across authors—like a guided audio journey."
"Makes me feel smarter every time before going to work"
"Instead of endless scrolling, I just hit play on BeFreed. It saves me so much time."
"I never knew where to start with nonfiction—BeFreed’s book lists turned into podcasts gave me a clear path."
"Perfect balance between learning and entertainment. Finished ‘Thinking, Fast and Slow’ on my commute this week."
"Crazy how much I learned while walking the dog. BeFreed = small habits → big gains."
"Reading used to feel like a chore. Now it’s just part of my lifestyle."
"Feels effortless compared to reading. I’ve finished 6 books this month already."
"BeFreed turned my guilty doomscrolling into something that feels productive and inspiring."
"BeFreed turned my commute into learning time. 20-min podcasts are perfect for finishing books I never had time for."
"BeFreed replaced my podcast queue. Imagine Spotify for books — that’s it. 🙌"
"It is great for me to learn something from the book without reading it."
"The themed book list podcasts help me connect ideas across authors—like a guided audio journey."
"Makes me feel smarter every time before going to work"
"Instead of endless scrolling, I just hit play on BeFreed. It saves me so much time."
"I never knew where to start with nonfiction—BeFreed’s book lists turned into podcasts gave me a clear path."
"Perfect balance between learning and entertainment. Finished ‘Thinking, Fast and Slow’ on my commute this week."
"Crazy how much I learned while walking the dog. BeFreed = small habits → big gains."
"Reading used to feel like a chore. Now it’s just part of my lifestyle."
"Feels effortless compared to reading. I’ve finished 6 books this month already."
"BeFreed turned my guilty doomscrolling into something that feels productive and inspiring."
"BeFreed turned my commute into learning time. 20-min podcasts are perfect for finishing books I never had time for."
"BeFreed replaced my podcast queue. Imagine Spotify for books — that’s it. 🙌"
"It is great for me to learn something from the book without reading it."
"The themed book list podcasts help me connect ideas across authors—like a guided audio journey."
"Makes me feel smarter every time before going to work"
"Instead of endless scrolling, I just hit play on BeFreed. It saves me so much time."
"I never knew where to start with nonfiction—BeFreed’s book lists turned into podcasts gave me a clear path."
"Perfect balance between learning and entertainment. Finished ‘Thinking, Fast and Slow’ on my commute this week."
"Crazy how much I learned while walking the dog. BeFreed = small habits → big gains."
"Reading used to feel like a chore. Now it’s just part of my lifestyle."
"Feels effortless compared to reading. I’ve finished 6 books this month already."
"BeFreed turned my guilty doomscrolling into something that feels productive and inspiring."
"BeFreed turned my commute into learning time. 20-min podcasts are perfect for finishing books I never had time for."
"BeFreed replaced my podcast queue. Imagine Spotify for books — that’s it. 🙌"
"It is great for me to learn something from the book without reading it."
"The themed book list podcasts help me connect ideas across authors—like a guided audio journey."
"Makes me feel smarter every time before going to work"
免费获取《Irrational Exuberance》摘要的 PDF 或 EPUB 版本。可打印或随时离线阅读。