Irrational Exuberance book cover

Irrational Exuberance by Robert J. Shiller Summary

Irrational Exuberance
Robert J. Shiller
3.98 (8384 Reviews)
Economics
Finance
Psychology
概要
主なポイント
著者
よくある質問

Overview of Irrational Exuberance

Nobel Prize-winner Robert Shiller's "Irrational Exuberance" predicted both the dot-com crash and housing bubble. Published precisely at Nasdaq's peak before its collapse, this economic prophecy earned Nassim Taleb's admiration and sparked fierce debates with Eugene Fama about market efficiency.

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知識を魅力的で例が豊富な洞察に変換

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キーアイデアを瞬時にキャプチャして素早く学習

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楽しく魅力的な方法で本を楽しむ

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重要なポイント

1

The Market's Emotional Rollercoaster: Understanding Financial Manias

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When Alan Greenspan uttered the phrase "irrational exuberance" in 1996, markets worldwide tumbled. Yet the Dow would triple before spectacularly crashing in 2000-exactly as economist Robert Shiller had predicted. What drives rational people to collectively lose their minds when it comes to asset prices? The answer lies in a powerful psychological feedback loop: news of price increases sparks enthusiasm, which spreads like a contagion, drawing in larger classes of investors. This creates a naturally occurring Ponzi scheme where early investors profit from later arrivals, all driven by the infectious narrative that prices will continue rising indefinitely. History reveals this pattern repeating with remarkable consistency. Looking at U.S. stock data since 1881, Shiller identified only three periods before 2000 when price-earnings ratios reached extraordinary heights-each followed by devastating crashes and decades of subpar returns. When Shiller constructed his Cyclically Adjusted Price-Earnings ratio (CAPE), he discovered the Millennium Boom's peak CAPE of 47.2 far exceeded even the 1929 peak of 32.6. The market wasn't responding to fundamentals-it was caught in the grip of a powerful psychological phenomenon that would eventually unravel with devastating consequences.

2

The Perfect Storm: What Ignites Market Bubbles

3

The Feedback Loop: How Bubbles Feed Themselves

4

The "New Era" Illusion: How We Justify the Madness

5

The Psychology Behind Market Madness

6

The Herd Mentality: Ideas Spreading Like Wildfire

7

Beyond Efficient Markets: Embracing Human Reality

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『Irrational Exuberance』は単なる本ではありません—Economicsのマスタークラスです。あなたに最適な方法でレッスンを吸収できるよう、5つのユニークな学習モードを用意しています。深く考える人も、素早く学ぶ人も、物語が好きな人も、あなたのスタイルに合ったモードがあります。

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『Irrational Exuberance』を10分で要約

『Irrational Exuberance』の核心的なアイデアを分かりやすいポイントに分解し、革新的なチームがどのように創造、協力、成長するかを理解します。

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フラッシュカードモード - 『Irrational Exuberance』から厳選した10の洞察

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『Irrational Exuberance』から厳選した10の洞察

『Irrational Exuberance』を素早い記憶のヒントに凝縮し、率直さ、チームワーク、創造的な回復力の主要原則を強調します。

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"Reading used to feel like a chore. Now it’s just part of my lifestyle."

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"Feels effortless compared to reading. I’ve finished 6 books this month already."

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"Reading used to feel like a chore. Now it’s just part of my lifestyle."

@Erin, Investment Banking Associate , NYC
platform
comments
254
likes
17

"Feels effortless compared to reading. I’ve finished 6 books this month already."

@djmikemoore
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star

"BeFreed turned my guilty doomscrolling into something that feels productive and inspiring."

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