
Nobel Prize-winner Robert Shiller's "Irrational Exuberance" predicted both the dot-com crash and housing bubble. Published precisely at Nasdaq's peak before its collapse, this economic prophecy earned Nassim Taleb's admiration and sparked fierce debates with Eugene Fama about market efficiency.
著者の声を通じて本を感じる
知識を魅力的で例が豊富な洞察に変換
キーアイデアを瞬時にキャプチャして素早く学習
楽しく魅力的な方法で本を楽しむ
When Alan Greenspan uttered the phrase "irrational exuberance" in 1996, markets worldwide tumbled. Yet the Dow would triple before spectacularly crashing in 2000-exactly as economist Robert Shiller had predicted. What drives rational people to collectively lose their minds when it comes to asset prices? The answer lies in a powerful psychological feedback loop: news of price increases sparks enthusiasm, which spreads like a contagion, drawing in larger classes of investors. This creates a naturally occurring Ponzi scheme where early investors profit from later arrivals, all driven by the infectious narrative that prices will continue rising indefinitely. History reveals this pattern repeating with remarkable consistency. Looking at U.S. stock data since 1881, Shiller identified only three periods before 2000 when price-earnings ratios reached extraordinary heights-each followed by devastating crashes and decades of subpar returns. When Shiller constructed his Cyclically Adjusted Price-Earnings ratio (CAPE), he discovered the Millennium Boom's peak CAPE of 47.2 far exceeded even the 1929 peak of 32.6. The market wasn't responding to fundamentals-it was caught in the grip of a powerful psychological phenomenon that would eventually unravel with devastating consequences.
『Irrational Exuberance』の核心的なアイデアを分かりやすいポイントに分解し、革新的なチームがどのように創造、協力、成長するかを理解します。
『Irrational Exuberance』を素早い記憶のヒントに凝縮し、率直さ、チームワーク、創造的な回復力の主要原則を強調します。

鮮やかなストーリーテリングを通じて『Irrational Exuberance』を体験し、イノベーションのレッスンを記憶に残り、応用できる瞬間に変えます。
何でも質問し、声を選び、本当にあなたに響く洞察を一緒に作り出しましょう。

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