
In "A City on Mars," award-winning researchers Kelly and Zach Weinersmith challenge our space colonization fantasies with sobering reality. What if our cosmic ambitions create more problems than they solve? Winner of the 2024 Royal Society Science Book Prize for transforming how we view humanity's extraterrestrial future.
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Picture Elon Musk's vision: a million people living on Mars within our lifetime, humanity spreading across the solar system like pioneers heading west. It's intoxicating stuff. But what if our most cherished space dreams rest on foundations as solid as Martian dust? This isn't another starry-eyed celebration of our cosmic destiny. Instead, it's a reckoning with what actually happens when human bodies, built by millions of years of Earth-bound evolution, confront environments that want them dead. The Weinersmiths spent four years excavating the buried assumptions beneath our space ambitions, transforming from enthusiastic supporters into what they call "space bastards"-skeptics armed with uncomfortable questions. Their conclusion challenges everything we've been told: rushing to colonize space might create more nightmares than solutions, and the gap between SpaceX promotional videos and sustainable off-world living is wider than the gulf between Earth and Mars itself. Every great migration needs a story to justify the journey, and space settlement has collected several. The most seductive is the "backup plan" narrative-that Mars colonies would preserve humanity if Earth becomes uninhabitable. But pause for a moment and consider what this actually means. Even an Earth scorched by nuclear winter, choked by runaway climate change, or devastated by pandemic would remain vastly more hospitable than Mars on its best day. Mars offers no breathable air, no magnetic field to block radiation, and soil laced with toxic perchlorates. Any Mars settlement would require constant Earth resupply for generations, making it useless as actual insurance against terrestrial catastrophe. The environmental salvation pitch fares no better under scrutiny. To merely maintain Earth's current population-not reduce it-we'd need to relocate 220,000 people daily to space. Every single day. Forever. The industrial-scale infrastructure required makes current space programs look like toy rockets. And those dreams of mining asteroids for precious metals? The economics collapse when you calculate extraction costs against market value, especially since nonrenewable resources constitute barely 2.5% of Earth's actual wealth. Perhaps most revealing is the "overview effect" myth-this idea that seeing Earth from space confers profound wisdom. Yet after nearly seventy years of spaceflight and over 600 astronauts, their insights rarely transcend greeting card philosophy about Earth's beauty.
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Cree par des anciens de Columbia University a San Francisco
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Cree par des anciens de Columbia University a San Francisco

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