
Howard Marks' masterclass on market cycles reveals how legendary investors like Buffett navigate financial waves. Endorsed by Wall Street titans, this 2018 bestseller doesn't predict markets - it positions you to profit from inevitable patterns. What cycle are we in right now?
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Picture a pendulum that never stops at the center, always swinging past it. This is how Howard Marks, co-founder of Oaktree Capital Management, describes market cycles - the invisible force that can transform sound investments into catastrophic failures or risky bets into spectacular successes. Not because the investment changed, but because the cycle did. While most investors focus on what to buy, the truly successful ones understand when to buy it. Cycles aren't random fluctuations but interconnected patterns with their own internal logic, oscillating around midpoints with each event causing the next. They're inevitable, self-correcting, and frequently misunderstood due to investors' notoriously short memories. Understanding even a little about cycle timing gives you an advantage over those who ignore them - and that's what separates average returns from exceptional ones. Investing means making decisions today that will benefit from tomorrow's events - a fundamentally uncertain proposition. While achieving average market returns is simple through index funds, consistent outperformance requires an edge. But where can you find it? Not in predicting unpredictable macro events, but in three specific areas: knowing more about "the knowable" (company fundamentals), maintaining discipline about appropriate prices, and understanding the current investment environment. Think of the future not as a fixed outcome but as a probability distribution. Superior investors develop a better sense of these probabilities - they understand what "tickets are in the bowl" and whether the odds favor participation.
Décomposez les idées clés de Mastering the Market Cycle en points faciles à comprendre pour découvrir comment les équipes innovantes créent, collaborent et grandissent.
Condensez Mastering the Market Cycle en indices de mémoire rapides mettant en évidence les principes clés de franchise, de travail d'équipe et de résilience créative.

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Cree par des anciens de Columbia University a San Francisco
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Cree par des anciens de Columbia University a San Francisco

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