
A chilling warning from a CIA analyst: America is sliding toward civil war. Barbara Walter's data-driven analysis shows our democracy weakening to +5 from +10, as social media algorithms accelerate divisions - a must-read that's sparked urgent national security conversations.
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Democracy doesn't collapse suddenly-it erodes gradually, with warning signs we often miss until it's too late. In "How Civil Wars Start," renowned political scientist Barbara F. Walter delivers a sobering revelation: the United States is displaying the same warning patterns that precede civil wars elsewhere. After decades studying conflicts in places like Syria and Yugoslavia for the CIA-funded Political Instability Task Force, Walter turned her analytical lens homeward and discovered alarming parallels. The most dangerous situation isn't full autocracy or robust democracy, but the precarious middle ground between them-what scholars call "anocracies." These hybrid regimes maintain democratic facades while power consolidates among elites who gradually dismantle institutional guardrails. Countries in this dangerous middle zone are three times more likely to experience civil war than full democracies. Even more concerning? America's democratic rating has fallen dramatically in recent years, placing us squarely in this danger zone for the first time since 1800.
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